Athlon Sports News

2009 CFB Weekend On Tap: Week 6

Mitch Light predicts the outcome of 10 of the week's biggest games in the Week 6 edition of his 2009 Weekend on Tap column.

Nebraska (-3) at Missouri (Thu)

The Big 12 is showcased on ESPN Thursday night football, and it’s an intriguing matchup of two teams expected to be in the hunt for the North Division title. The Missouri offense hasn’t missed a beat with Blaine Gabbert at quarterback, but the Tigers haven’t faced the most difficult schedule. Both Illinois and Nevada have been disappointments, and the Bowling Green team that MU squeaked by in Week 2 is 1–4. Nebraska has been dominant on defense en route to its 3–1 start, leading the nation in fewest points allowed (7.0 ppg). But like Missouri, the Huskers have not been tested, with the exception of a Week 3 trip to Virginia Tech. The key to the game could be Missouri’s suspect run defense against Nebraska tailback Roy Helu Jr. The Tigers must keep Helu’s rushing totals under control.
Missouri 24, Nebraska 20

Auburn (-2.5) at Arkansas

Auburn’s surprising season took another positive turn last week with a solid 26–22 win over Tennessee in Knoxville. The Tigers rolled up 457 total yards against a good Volunteer defense, using a nice mix of run (224 yards) and pass (235 yards). It’s clear that the Auburn offense is buying whatever Gus Malzahn is selling. Speaking of offense, Arkansas got back on track last weekend, posting an impressive 47–19 neutral-site win over Texas A&M. The Hogs are averaging 45.3 points against teams not named Alabama, and there is no reason to believe they won’t put up a big number against Auburn. Now, can the Razorbacks slow down Auburn? Not likely, but the hunch here is that the Hogs will do enough defensively to survive what should be a very entertaining game.
Arkansas 37, Auburn 35

Boston College (+13.5) at Virginia Tech

Boston College has been one of the early season surprises, although it’s hard to get both feet on the bandwagon of a team that managed a total of 54 yards in a 25–7 Week 3 loss to Clemson. That offensive effort, however, occurred before Dave Shinkskie assumed full control of the quarterback position. In his two games as the starter, the former minor leaguer has completed 31-of-51 for 439 yards and five touchdowns with only one interception. More important, the Eagles won both games — topping Wake in overtime and Florida State by seven. Beating two mediocre ACC teams at home (yes, the Noles look very middle-of-the-pack-ish) and winning in Blacksburg are two very different things. Virginia Tech has won four straight since the season-opening loss to Alabama and is looking like the team that was the overwhelming preseason favorite to win the league title.
Virginia Tech 24, Boston College 13

Georgia (+1) at Tennessee

The five combined losses by Tennessee and Georgia are the most (at the time of this game) since the SEC split into two divisions in 1992. The Vols are in rebuilding mode under first-year coach Lane Kiffin, but the Bulldogs surely didn’t plan on being 3–2 at this point of the season. The schedule has been tough — the Dawgs are the only team in the nation that has played five games vs. BCS conference opponents — but 3–2 is still 3–2. The defense has improved, allowing a total of 37 points in the past two games after giving up 78 in the previous two, but this is still not vintage Georgia. The Dawgs are last in the league and 115th in the nation in turnover margin, due in large part to a defense that has only four takeaways in five games. The key this week will be stopping Tennessee tailback Montario Hardesty, who is having a very solid senior season. If you can slow down Hardesty and make the Vols throw the ball down the field, you have a very good chance to win the game.
Georgia 24, Tennessee 14

Houston (-2.5) at Mississippi State

We’ve heard of letdowns, but Houston should be embarrassed about its performance in El Paso last weekend. With so much on the line — continued inclusion in the BCS conversation — the Coogs have no excuse for being so bad on defense against a very average (at best) UTEP offense. The same Miner team that scored seven points (with a total of 53 yards) against Texas, scored seven points against Kansas and lost at home to Buffalo, 23–17, to open the season, gashed Houston for 581 total yards and 58 points. Mississippi State is showing signs of life on offense under first-year coach Dan Mullen. The Bulldogs are 2–3 but are averaging 24.0 points in four games against FBS competition, up from 13.5 points in 11 games against FBS foes in 2008. They scored 26 two weeks ago against LSU and 31 vs. Georgia Tech last Saturday. Hitting the 30-point mark once again could be enough to hand the Coogs their second straight defeat.
Mississippi State 31, Houston 30

Alabama (-6.5) at Ole Miss

This showdown lost a bit of its luster when Ole Miss dropped its SEC opener two weeks ago at South Carolina. But it’s still a very big game in the SEC West, which is shaping up to be the much stronger of two divisions. Ole Miss got back in the win column last week against Vanderbilt, but Jevan Snead still isn’t playing at a very high level. He was intercepted three times by the Commodore defense and struggled throughout the second half. Alabama is playing as well as any team in the nation right now. Nick Saban’s club has been efficient on offense and outstanding on defense — a recipe that figures to keep this team in the hunt for a national title. The Rebel faithful have been waiting for this one for a while. But, as the saying goes: Be careful what you wish for.
Alabama 26, Ole Miss 17

Wisconsin (+14) at Ohio State

There have been some close calls, but Wisconsin is rolling along with a perfect 5–0 overall record, including 2–0 in the Big Ten. As usual, the Badgers are running the ball well, but the offense has gotten a big lift from quarterback Scott Tolzein, who has been terrific in his first season as a starter. Tolzein, however, has yet to face a defense as stout as the Buckeyes. Since giving up 27 points to Navy in the opener, the Buckeyes have pitched two shutouts (Toledo and Illinois) and surrendered a total of 32 points. And while the competition hasn’t been great, OSU has scored 30-plus points in three straight games — a good sign for an offense that is seeking an identity. Wisconsin has enjoyed success in Columbus over the past decade, winning three straight at The Shoe (1999, ’01, ’04) before getting ripped two years ago, 38–17. It won’t be that bad this time around, but the Badgers will taste defeat for the first time in the Tolzein era.
Ohio State 20, Wisconsin 14

Georgia Tech (+2.5) at Florida State

After three futile attempts, I finally got it right with Georgia Tech, predicting a Yellow Jacket win (and cover) against Mississippi State. After hitting a speed bump against Clemson (in the second half) and Miami, the Tech offense is back doing its thing. Last week, the Jackets rolled up 479 yards (266 passing, 213 rushing) in a 42–31 win at Mississippi State. Florida State continues to disappoint. The Seminoles are 2–3 after losing back-to-back games to South Florida and Boston College. Tallahassee is buzzing with rumors about Bobby Bowden’s future, which can’t help this team focus on the task at hand. Not that anyone is asking, but the powers at Florida State should have already placed a call to Brian Kelly’s agent.
Georgia Tech 30, Florida State 20

Florida (-8.5) at LSU

This figures to be Florida’s biggest hurdle en route to an undefeated regular season, and there’s a distinct possibility that John Brantley, not Tim Tebow, will be running the show. Yes, Tebow has returned to practice, but running drills isn’t quite the same as facing a live defense. Brantley’s career numbers are sparkling (40-of-58 for 467 yards with seven TDs and one INT), but those stats were not accumulated in crunch time … on the road … against an SEC foe. Florida is good enough to win this game without Tebow, but the Gators’ margin for error is not as great. LSU is feeling good about itself after its most complete game of the season, a 20–13 win at Georgia. The Tigers controlled the game for the first three quarters but struggled to punch the ball in the end zone. The LSU defense hasn’t been quite as ferocious as expected, but the Tigers are only allowing 14.8 points per game. With Tebow, I’d feel comfortable picking a comfortable Gator win. Without him? Not so comfortable.
Florida 27, LSU 20

Michigan (+7.5) at Iowa

Iowa suffered a bit of a letdown, following up its enormous win at Penn State with a closer-than-expected 24–21 victory at home against Arkansas State. The Hawkeyes were once again very good on defense — A-State scored a defensive touchdown and had less than 300 yards — and just good enough on offense. Michigan is coming off by far its worst offensive game of the season; in the overtime loss in East Lansing, the Wolverines managed only 251 yards, well over 100 fewer than their previous low. And that was against an MSU defense that was torched for 436 yards and 38 points in a loss at Wisconsin the previous week. Michigan is obviously improved, but Iowa is better. Go with the Hawkeyes.
Iowa 28, Michigan 17

Last week — 5–5 overall (5–5 against the spread)
Season — 28–22 overall (20–30 against the spread)




"Wow, what a great honor it is to receive an award named after Johnny Unitas, one of the greatest football players ever,” McCoy said. “I had a chance to talk to John, Jr. and Raymond Berry last night when they told me I was this year's winner and I was pretty speechless.

“With all of the great quarterbacks around the country it’s definitely humbling to be picked as the winner of the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award. But, like I told them last night, this is an honor I can't wait to share with my teammates and coaches. Without them I wouldn't be able to accomplish anything, so this is an award that reflects the success we've had as a team and is a tribute to all of them."
THE JOHNNY UNITAS GOLDEN ARM AWARD

Often times college football fans and the media become so enthralled with touchdown passes, elusive runs, ferocious tackles and quarterback sacks that we lose sight of other important matters of college athletics. The Golden Arm Award, presented annually to the top senior quarterback by the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Foundation encapsulates all that is positive in college sports. The award acknowledges performance on the field for sure. But it goes beyond completion percentage and touchdown strikes. The award values character, citizenship, integrity and those who honor the game.

"The winner of the Golden Arm Award is recognized not only for his athletic accomplishments, but also for his character, citizenship, scholastic achievement, leadership qualities, and athletic abilities," says John Unitas, Jr., President of the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Educational Foundation, Inc. The Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award bears the name of the man many refer to as the finest quarterback ever to play the game of football.

In addition to honoring a player with the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award, the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Educational Foundation, Inc., has awarded more than $500,000 in scholarships to deserving scholar-athletes from local area high schools both in Maryland and Kentucky.

"Despite my Dad's outstanding accomplishments, he never forgot his humble beginnings, and this won him a permanent place in the hearts of all who ever knew him," notes Unitas, Jr. "Giving life to his commitment to 'give back,' the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Educational Foundation, Inc. was established to promote football on all levels by providing financial aid to deserving young athletes."


GOLDEN ARM WATCH LIST


Jarrett Brown
West Virginia earned its 15th consecutive victory over Rutgers, holding on for a 24–21 win in New Jersey. Brown completed 10-of-20 passes for 116 yards, as the Mountaineers punched their ticket to the Gator Bowl, where they will face Florida State and former WVU coach Bobby Bowden in his final game.

Daryll Clark
Penn State rolled to a 42–14 win at Michigan State in the Big Ten season finale. Clark completed 19-of-27 passes for 310 yards, four scoring strikes and zero interceptions in the final regular season game of his Nittany Lion career.

Armanti Edwards
Appalachian State rallied for an impressive 35–31 win at defending FCS champion Richmond in the quarterfinals of the Football Championship Subdivision playoffs. Edwards completed 21-of-33 passes for 216 yards, one touchdown — a game-winning four-yarder to Matt Cline with 10 seconds remaining — and zero picks, while scrambling on 12 carries for 51 yards and two trips to the end zone.

Matt Grothe
South Florida lost 29–27 to Connecticut, but Grothe did not play due to a season-ending ACL injury suffered against Charleston Southern on Sept. 19.

Max Hall
BYU won the Holy War over Utah, with a 26–23 overtime thriller in Provo. Hall’s stats were not overly impressive, as the senior signal-caller completed just 12-of-32 passes for 134 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. But his 25-yard scoring strike to Andrew George clinched the victory in overtime after the Cougars defense held the Utes to a field goal.

Tim Hiller
Western Michigan was shocked by Ball State, 22–17, in Kalamazoo. Hiller struggled in defeat, completing 33-of-62 passes for 354 yards, one score and four picks.

Mike Kafka
Northwestern pulled off a season-ending upset of Wisconsin, 33–31. Kafka played mistake-free football, completing 26-of-40 passes for 326 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions in his final home game.

Dan LeFevour
Central Michigan rolled to a 20–10 win over Ohio in the MAC Championship Game at Ford Field in Detroit. LeFevour completed 28-of-39 passes for 255 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in CMU’s third MAC title in four seasons. In the process, LeFevour broke the FBS record for career total touchdowns (passing, rushing, receiving), previously shared by Hawaii’s Colt Brennan (2007) and Texas Tech’s Graham Harrell (2008), with 148 scores (101 passing, 46 rushing, 1 receiving).

Corey Leonard
Arkansas State won its season finale, 24–20, against Western Kentucky. Leonard, however, was unable to play due to a knee injury.

Thaddeus Lewis
Lewis became the 60th player in FBS history to pass for 10,000 career yards during his final game at Duke. Unfortunately, the Blue Devils could not defeat Wake Forest, suffering a 45–34 loss.

Colt McCoy
Texas found a way to outfight an aggressive Nebraska team led by defensive tackle Ndumakong Suh, winning 13–12 on a 46-yard field goal that went through the uprights as time expired — for a second time. One second was added to the clock following an incomplete McCoy pass that sailed out of bounds before the game-winning kick. Under pressure all night, McCoy completed 20-of-36 passes for 184 yards and three touchdowns, but did secure the most important stat of all — a victory that capped a perfect regular season, Big 12 championship and a trip to Pasadena for the BCS title game against Alabama.

Tony Pike
Cincinnati pulled off an amazing 45–44 win in the snow at Pittsburgh in the de facto Big East title game. Pike completed 22-of-44 passes for 302 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Trailing 31–17 at halftime, Pike threw three second-half scoring strikes — a 68-yard bomb to star receiver Mardy Gilyard, an 8-yarder to D.J. Woods and a 29-yard over-the-shoulder spiral to Armon Binns to take a one-point lead the Bearcats would not relinquish with 33 seconds to play.

Patrick Pinkney
East Carolina knocked off Houston, 38–32, to clinch its second straight Conference USA title and a trip to the Liberty Bowl in Memphis. Pinkney completed 21-of-34 passes for 262 yards, one touchdown and zero turnovers in a clutch win at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville, N.C., where the Pirates have not lost since falling to the Cougars last year.

Todd Reesing
Kansas could not hold on to a late lead in the 117th Border War with Missouri. The Jayhawks lost 41–39 despite a career outing from Reesing, who completed 37-of-55 passes for a school-record 498 yards, four touchdowns and one interception.

Zac Robinson
Oklahoma State lost out on a shot at a BCS berth by losing 27–0 at Oklahoma. Robinson fought through a shoulder injury to complete just 9-of-21 passes for 44 yards, no scores and one interception in the disappointing shutout loss to unranked OU.

Tyler Sheehan
Bowling Green took care of business against Toledo, winning 38–24 in the season finale. Sheehan completed 19-of-31 passes for 137 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions in victory.

Riley Skinner
Wake Forest cruised to a 45–34 win over Duke, as Skinner completed 28-of-38 passes for a career-high 372 yards, a school-record five touchdowns and zero interceptions. The win snapped a five-game losing streak for the Demon Deacons.

Rusty Smith
Florida Atlantic held on to beat Florida International, 28–21, in Miami. Unfortunately, Smith did not play due to a season-ending shoulder injury suffered in a Halloween loss to Middle Tennessee.

Tim Tebow
Superman ran into Crimson kryptonite, as Florida fell to Alabama 32–13 in the SEC Championship Game at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta. In a disappointing effort, Tebow completed 20-of-35 passes for 247 yards, one touchdown and one interception through the air, while tucking the ball on 10 carries for 63 yards. The Gators will not compete for their third national title in Tebow’s four seasons. Instead, UF will play Cincinnati in the Sugar Bowl on New Year’s Day.

Chris Turner
Maryland lost its seventh straight game, falling 19–17 to Boston College. After missing two weeks recovering from a knee injury, Turner completed 11-of-17 passes for 101 yards during his final college start.

Joe Webb
UAB’s one-man offense was not enough to avoid a 34–27 loss to UCF. Webb did all he could, completing 20-of-35 passes for 322 yards, three touchdowns and one interception through the air, while adding 18 carries for 137 yards and one touchdown on the ground.

Juice Williams
Illinois lost a heartbreaker to Fresno State in a 53–52 shootout in Champaign. Williams completed 8-of-16 passes for 211 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions, but was unable to lead the Fighting Illini to victory, as Illinois was outscored 22–14 in the fourth quarter of a one-point loss on Senior Day.